1. Kumvetsetsa Zosavuta Kusuntha Average (SMA)
The Zambiri Kupita Avereji (SMA) ndi chida chofunikira kwambiri mu trader's arsenal, akugwira ntchito ngati nyali munyanja yaphokoso ya Malonda osasunthika. Ndi ngwazi yodzikuza ya kusanthula kwaukadaulo, kupereka mzere wosalala womwe umathandiza traders amazindikira zomwe zikuchitika pakati pa phokoso la kusinthasintha kwamitengo yatsiku ndi tsiku.
Pachimake, SMA ndi kuwerengetsa masamu molunjika. Zimawerengedwa powonjezera ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri (monga kutseka mitengo pazigawo zingapo) ndikugawa chiŵerengerocho ndi kuchuluka kwa nthawi. Mzere wotsatira umakonzedwa pa tchati, ndikupereka chithunzithunzi cha mtengo wapakati pa nthawi imeneyo.
Chimodzi mwazinthu zazikulu za SMA ndi zake ntchito zosiyanasiyana. Itha kusinthidwa kukhala mafelemu osiyanasiyana anthawi, ndikupangitsa kuti igwire ntchito pakanthawi kochepa traders ndi osunga ndalama nthawi yayitali. SMA yayifupi imamatira kwambiri pamitengo yapano, ndikupangitsa kuti ikhale yabwino kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika pakanthawi kochepa. Kumbali ina, SMA yotalikirapo imawongolera kusinthasintha kwakanthawi kochepa, kupereka chithunzi chomveka bwino cha zomwe zikuchitika nthawi yayitali.
Komabe, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti SMA ndi chizindikiro chotsalira. Zimatengera mitengo yam'mbuyomu ndipo zimatengera pang'onopang'ono kusintha kwamitengo kwaposachedwa. Kuchedwa uku kumatha kukhala mphamvu komanso kufooka. Kumbali ina, zimathandizira kuchotsa kusinthasintha kwakung'ono kwamitengo, kupangitsa zomwe zikuchitika kukhala zomveka bwino. Kumbali inayi, imatha kuyambitsa kuchedwetsa kupanga ma siginecha, zomwe zitha kupangitsa kulowa mochedwa kapena kutuluka.
Kutanthauzira kwa SMA ndi luso lomwe limabwera ndi chizolowezi. Kukwera kwa SMA kukuwonetsa kukwera, pomwe SMA yakugwa ikuwonetsa kutsika. Pamene mtengo uwoloka pamwamba pa SMA, ukhoza kukhala chizindikiro cha bullish, ndipo ukawoloka pansipa, ukhoza kukhala chizindikiro cha bearish. Komabe, zizindikilozi ziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito nthawi zonse limodzi ndi zida zina zowunikira kuti zitsimikizire kutsimikizika kwawo ndikuchepetsa chiopsezo za zizindikiro zabodza.
SMA itha kugwiritsidwanso ntchito kuzindikira kuthandizira ndi kukaniza. Awa ndi milingo yamitengo yomwe mtengo umakonda kubwereranso pambuyo pakutsika (thandizo) kapena kubwerera pambuyo pasadakhale (kukana). SMA nthawi zambiri imagwira ntchito ngati chithandizo champhamvu kapena mulingo wokana, ndikukwera mtengo kapena kuchoka pamzere wa SMA.
Pazamalonda, Simple Moving Average ikufanana ndi kampasi yodalirika, yotsogolera. traders kupyola m'madzi anthete amsika. Ndi chida chomwe, chikagwiritsidwa ntchito mwaluso ndi kumvetsetsa, chimawunikira njira yopezera phindu trades.
1.1. Tanthauzo la SMA
The Simple Moving Average imawerengeredwa powonjezera mitengo ya chida pa nthawi zina zotchulidwa kenako ndikugawa chiwonkhetsocho ndi kuchuluka kwa nthawi.
Mwachitsanzo, ngati mukufuna kuwerengera 5-day SMA ya katundu, mungawonjezere mitengo yotsekera m'masiku 5 apitawa ndikugawa ndi 5.
Nazi izi formula:
SMA = (P1 + P2 + P3 + … + Pn) / n
Kumene:
- P1, P2, P3, ..., Pn ndi mitengo yanthawi iliyonse, ndi
- n ndi chiwerengero cha nthawi.
The Simple Moving Average imapereka mzere wosalala womwe ungathandize traders kuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika pochepetsa phokoso la kusinthasintha kwamitengo yatsiku ndi tsiku. Pamene mtengo uli pamwamba pa mzere wa SMA, ukhoza kusonyeza kukwera, ndipo mtengo ukakhala pansi pa mzere wa SMA, ukhoza kusonyeza kutsika. Komabe, izi ziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina zolosera zolondola.
1.2. Momwe SMA Imagwirira Ntchito
The Average Yoyenda Yosavuta (SMA) imagwira ntchito pa mfundo yowerengera nambala inayake yazomwe zidachitika kale. Izi zimachitidwa kuti muchepetse kusinthasintha kwakanthawi kochepa ndikuwunikira zomwe zimachitika nthawi yayitali kapena kuzungulira. Njira yowerengera SMA ndi yowongoka: ndi kuchuluka kwamitengo yotsekera pazigawo zingapo za nthawi, zogawidwa ndi kuchuluka kwa nthawi. Mwachitsanzo, ngati mukuwerengera SMA yamasiku 10, mutha kuwonjezera mitengo yotseka yamasiku 10 apitawa ndikugawa ndi 10.
Mzere wa SMA womwe umayikidwa pa tchati umapereka chithunzithunzi chambiri cha mtengo wapakati. Mzerewu umayenda m'mwamba kapena pansi potengera momwe masheya amayendera. Mzere wokwera wa SMA ukuwonetsa kukwera, pomwe mzere wakugwa wa SMA ukuwonetsa kutsika.
The SMA imagwira ntchito ngati malo ofunikira traders. Pamene mtengo uwoloka pamwamba pa mzere wa SMA, ukhoza kukhala chizindikiro cha bullish, ndipo ukawoloka pansipa, ukhoza kukhala chizindikiro cha bearish. Komabe, zizindikirozi si zopusa ndipo ayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina luso ndi kusanthula kwakukulu zotsatira zabwino.
Kwenikweni, SMA ndi chida chosunthika chomwe chingasinthidwe kuti chigwirizane ndi masitaelo osiyanasiyana ogulitsa ndi nthawi yake. Kaya ndinu tsiku tradePoyang'ana tchati cha mphindi 5 kapena wobwereketsa wanthawi yayitali akusanthula ma chart a mlungu ndi mlungu, SMA ikhoza kupereka zidziwitso zofunikira pamayendedwe amsika.
2. Kugwiritsa ntchito SMA mu Njira Zamalonda
SMA, kapena Simple Moving Average, ndi chida champhamvu m'manja mwa a trader, kupereka malingaliro atsopano pamayendedwe amsika. Ndi lingaliro lomwe ndi losavuta kulimvetsa komanso lothandiza kwambiri, ndikupangitsa kuti likhale lofunika kwambiri mwa ambiri njira malonda.
Pakatikati pake, SMA ndi avareji yanthawi zinazake, zomwe zimachepetsa mtengo wamtengo kuti apange mzere womwe traders angagwiritse ntchito kuzindikira zomwe zingachitike pamsika. Koma kodi mumagwiritsa ntchito bwanji SMA munjira zamalonda?
Choyamba, traders nthawi zambiri amagwiritsa ntchito SMA ngati a mzere wa chizindikiro. Mtengo ukadutsa pamwamba pa SMA, ukhoza kukhala chizindikiro champhamvu, kuwonetsa kuti ikhoza kukhala nthawi yabwino yogula. Mosiyana ndi izi, mtengo ukadutsa pansi pa SMA, ukhoza kukhala chizindikiro cha bearish, kutanthauza kuti ikhoza kukhala nthawi yogulitsa.
Kachiwiri, SMA itha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuzindikira kuthandizira ndi kukaniza. Pamsika wotukuka, mzere wa SMA nthawi zambiri umakhala ngati gawo lothandizira pomwe mtengo umakonda kutsika. Momwemonso, pamsika wapansi, SMA ikhoza kukhala ngati mulingo wotsutsa pomwe mtengo umavutikira kuti udutse.
Pomaliza, traders nthawi zambiri amagwiritsa ntchito ma SMA awiri okhala ndi nthawi zosiyanasiyana (monga 50-day ndi 200-day SMA) kuti apange zizindikiro zamalonda. Njira imeneyi, yotchedwa SMA crossover, kumaphatikizapo kugula pamene nthawi yaifupi SMA idutsa pamwamba pa SMA (bullish crossover) ndi kugulitsa pamene nthawi yaifupi SMA idutsa pansi pa nthawi yayitali SMA (bearish crossover).
Ndikofunika kukumbukira kuti ngakhale SMA ndi chida champhamvu, sichingalephereke. Imagwiritsidwa ntchito bwino limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina zaumisiri ndi njira zowonetsetsa kuti kuwerengera molondola kwazomwe zikuchitika pamsika. Kugulitsa ndi bizinesi yowopsa, ndipo ndikofunikira kumvetsetsa ndikuwongolera zoopsazi.
2.1. SMA Crossover Strategy
Mu mlalang'amba waukulu wa njira zamalonda, ndi SMA Crossover Strategy imawala ngati nyenyezi yotsogolera kwa onse oyambira komanso odziwa zambiri traders. Njirayi imagwiritsa ntchito mphamvu ya Simple Moving Average (SMA), chida chomwe chimawongolera deta yamtengo wapatali mwa kukonzanso pafupifupi mtengo wamtengo wapatali panthawi inayake.
Njira ya SMA Crossover ndiyosavuta mwachinyengo. Zimaphatikizapo mizere iwiri ya SMA: a SMA yochepa (nthawi zambiri masiku 50) ndi a SMA nthawi yayitali (nthawi zambiri masiku 200). 'Kudutsana' kumachitika mizere iwiriyi ikadutsa. Ngati SMA yaifupi idutsa pamwamba pa SMA yayitali, ndi chizindikiro cholimbikitsa kusonyeza kuti ikhoza kukhala nthawi yabwino kugula. Mosiyana ndi izi, ngati SMA yaifupi idutsa pansi pa SMA yayitali, ndi Chizindikiro cha bearish, kutanthauza kuti mwina ndi nthawi yogulitsa.
Kukongola kwa njira iyi kwagona mu kuphweka kwake ndi kusinthasintha. Ndizowongoka mokwanira kuti oyamba kumene azitha kuzigwira mwachangu, koma zosinthika mokwanira kuti zitheke traders kuti asinthe molingana ndi kachitidwe kawo ka malonda komanso kulolerana kwa ngozi. Komabe, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti ngakhale SMA Crossover Strategy ikhoza kukhala chida champhamvu muzogulitsa zanu zamalonda, sizosalephera. Amagwiritsidwa ntchito bwino limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina ndi njira zotsimikizira zizindikiro ndikuchepetsa chiopsezo.
Ubwino ndi kuipa kwa SMA Crossover Strategy
- ubwino: Zosavuta kumvetsetsa ndikugwiritsa ntchito, zosinthika kumitundu yosiyanasiyana yamalonda ndi nthawi yake, zimatha kupereka zomveka bwino zogula ndikugulitsa.
- kuipa: Itha kutulutsa zikwangwani zabodza m'misika yosasinthika, kuchepa kwa SMA kumatha kubweretsa kuchedwa, osagwira ntchito m'misika yam'mbali.
Ngakhale zili zovuta izi, SMA Crossover Strategy ikadali yokondedwa pakati pawo traders padziko lonse lapansi. Ndikuchita komanso kuleza mtima, zitha kuthandizira kuunikira njira zomwe nthawi zambiri zimakhala zosokonekera pamisika, ndikupatseni chidziwitso chofunikira kuti mudziwitse zosankha zanu zamalonda.
2.2. SMA yokhala ndi Zizindikiro Zina
Kutsegula mphamvu ya SMA (Simple Moving Average) imakhala yosangalatsa kwambiri ikaphatikizidwa ndi zizindikiro zina zamalonda. Njira yophatikizikayi imatha kukulitsa kwambiri njira yanu yogulitsira, ndikuwonetsetsa momwe msika umayendera komanso malo olowera ndi kutuluka.
Mwachitsanzo, taganizirani za Wachibale Mphamvu Index (RSI). Ikagwiritsidwa ntchito molumikizana ndi SMA, imatha kuthandizira kuzindikira zinthu zomwe zagulidwa kwambiri kapena zogulitsa mopitilira muyeso. Tangoganizani kuti mzere wa SMA ukuwoloka pamwamba pa mtengo, zomwe zikuwonetsa kukwera. Tsopano, ngati RSI ili pansi pa 30 (malo ogulitsidwa kwambiri), ikhoza kukhala chizindikiro champhamvu kugula.
Mofananamo, a MACD (Kusuntha Avereji ya Kusokonekera) ndi chida china champhamvu chophatikiza ndi SMA. Chizindikirochi chikuwonetsa kusintha kwa mphamvu, njira, patsogolo, ndi kutalika kwa zomwe zikuchitika. Mzere wa MACD ukadutsa pamwamba pa mzere wa sigino pomwe SMA ikuwonetsa kukwera, ikhoza kukhala nthawi yoyenera kulowa pamsika.
Bollinger magulu ndi mnzake wina wabwino wa SMA. Magulu apamwamba ndi apansi amatha kukhala ngati chithandizo champhamvu ndi milingo yotsutsa. Ngati mtengo ukhudza gulu lotsika ndipo SMA ikukwera, ikhoza kupereka mwayi wabwino wogula.
Kumbukirani, izi ndi zitsanzo chabe. Pali zisonyezo zina zambiri zomwe mungathe kuziphatikiza ndi SMA kuti mukonzenso njira yanu yogulitsira. Chinsinsi ndicho kuyesa, backtest, ndikupeza kuphatikiza komwe kumagwira ntchito bwino pamayendedwe anu ogulitsa komanso kulolerana kwachiwopsezo. Koma chinthu chimodzi ndi chotsimikizika: ikagwiritsidwa ntchito mwanzeru, SMA kuphatikiza ndi zizindikiro zina zitha kukhala chida chowopsa pagulu lanu lankhondo.
2.3. Kusankha Nthawi Yoyenera ya SMA
Pankhani yamalonda, kusankha nthawi yoyenera ya Simple Moving Average (SMA) ndi chisankho chofunikira kwambiri chomwe chingakhudze kwambiri zotsatira zanu zamalonda. Sikuti kungosankha nambala mwachisawawa ndikuyembekeza zabwino. M'malo mwake, ndikumvetsetsa momwe msika ukuyendera, zolinga zanu zamalonda, ndi momwe nthawi zosiyanasiyana za SMA zingagwirizane ndi izi.
Nthawi zazifupi za SMA, monga masiku 5 kapena 10, angakhale abwino kwa nthawi yochepa traders kufunafuna ndalama zoyendetsera msika mwachangu. Ma SMA awa amakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi kusintha kwamitengo, kupereka chithunzithunzi chamsika wamakono. Komabe, amakhalanso okonda kupanga zizindikiro zabodza chifukwa cha kusinthika kwawo kwakukulu kwa kusinthasintha kwamtengo.
Nthawi yayitali ya SMA, monga masiku 50, 100, kapena 200, sakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi kusinthasintha kwamitengo ya tsiku ndi tsiku, kupereka chithunzithunzi chosavuta komanso chokhazikika cha mtengo wamtengo wapatali. Iwo ndi opindulitsa kwa nthawi yaitali traders omwe ali ndi chidwi chofuna kudziwa kusintha kwakukulu m'malo mosintha mitengo kwakanthawi kochepa.
Ndikofunikira kudziwa kuti palibe 'mulingo umodzi wokwanira-onse' ikafika posankha nthawi yoyenera ya SMA. Njira yabwino ndikuyesa nthawi zosiyanasiyana za SMA ndikuwona yomwe ikugwirizana bwino ndi malonda anu komanso kulolerana kwa ngozi.
Kumbukirani, SMA ndi chida chothandizira kupanga zisankho zamalonda mwanzeru. Si mpira wa kristalo womwe ungathe kuneneratu mayendedwe amsika motsimikiza kotheratu. Nthawi zonse ganizirani zizindikiro zina zamsika ndi zinthu musanapange chisankho cha malonda.
3. Zowopsa ndi Zochepa za SMA
pamene Average Yoyenda Yosavuta (SMA) ndi chida champhamvu mu a trader's arsenal, ndikofunikira kumvetsetsa kuti imabwera ndi zoopsa zake komanso zoperewera. Chimodzi mwa zolephera zazikulu ndikuti ndi mwachibadwa a chizindikiro chotsalira. Izi zikutanthauza kuti zimatengera mitengo yam'mbuyomu ndipo zitha kungopereka chidziwitso cha zomwe zachitika kale, osati zomwe zidzachitike mtsogolo. Izi zitha kupangitsa kulowa mochedwa trades, zokhoza kuphonya phindu lalikulu.
Ngozi ina yodziwika bwino ndi chizindikiro chabodza. SMA nthawi zina imatha kupanga kugula kapena kugulitsa chizindikiro chomwe sichikuwonetsa momwe zinthu zilili. Mwachitsanzo, SMA ikhoza kuwonetsa momwe msika ukuyendera, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zolakwika zambiri. Izi ndizowona makamaka m'misika yosasinthika komwe kusinthasintha kwamitengo kumatha kusokoneza pafupifupi.
Komanso, SMA ndi tcheru ku nyengo yosankhidwa. SMA ya masiku 50 idzapereka zizindikiro zosiyana kwambiri poyerekeza ndi SMA ya masiku 200. Ngati nthawiyo ndi yaifupi kwambiri, SMA ikhoza kukhala yosamala kwambiri pakusintha kwamitengo pang'ono, zomwe zimapangitsa kugula ndi kugulitsa pafupipafupi. Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, ngati nthawiyo ndi yaitali kwambiri, SMA ikhoza kukhala yosakhudzidwa kwambiri, zomwe zingathe kusowa kusintha kwakukulu.
Pomaliza, SMA sichiwerengera mphamvu ya voliyumu. Masiku awiri okhala ndi mtengo wotseka womwewo koma ma voliyumu osiyanasiyana adzakhala ndi zotsatira zofanana pa SMA. Izi zitha kukhala zovuta chifukwa voliyumu nthawi zambiri imapereka zidziwitso zofunika pakulimba kwa zomwe zikuchitika.
Ngakhale ziwopsezo ndi zolephera izi sizimapangitsa kuti SMA ikhale yopanda ntchito, imawonetsa kufunikira koigwiritsa ntchito molumikizana ndi zida zina zowunikira komanso zizindikiro. Njira yokhazikika, yodziwitsidwa pazamalonda nthawi zonse idzapereka zotsatira zabwino kwambiri.
3.1. Lagging Indicator
Zizindikiro zododometsa ndi chida chofunikira muzogulitsa zamalonda, zomwe zimapereka chithunzithunzi cham'mbuyo momwe msika ukuyendera. Chimodzi mwa zizindikiro zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri ndi Simple Moving Average (SMA). SMA imawerengedwa powonjezera mitengo yotseka ya 'X' yomaliza ndikugawa nambalayo ndi X. Zotsatira zake ndi mzere wosalala womwe traders amagwiritsa ntchito kumvetsetsa zomwe msika umachita kale.
Ngakhale zizindikiro zotsalira zingawoneke zosasangalatsa kusiyana ndi zomwe zimatsogolera, zimapereka maziko olimba a mbiri yakale. Deta iyi ndiyofunikira traders omwe amakhazikitsa njira zawo pamachitidwe amsika am'mbuyomu. SMA, monga chizindikiro chotsalira, imathandizira traders kuti azindikire zomwe zingatheke kugula ndi kugulitsa ma siginecha kutengera mayendedwe akale amitengo.
SMA ndiyothandiza makamaka m'misika yosasinthika, pomwe kusinthasintha kwamitengo kumatha kusokeretsa traders. Powongolera deta yamitengo, SMA imapereka chithunzi chomveka bwino chazomwe zikuchitika. Izi zingathandize traders amapanga zisankho zodziwika bwino, kuchepetsa chiopsezo chopanga trades kutengera kukwera kwamitengo kwakanthawi kochepa kapena ma dips.
Komabe, ndikofunikira kuzindikira kuti monga zizindikiro zonse zotsalira, SMA ili ndi malire ake. Zimachokera ku deta yapitayi, kotero sizingathe kufotokozera mayendedwe amsika am'tsogolo. Zimachedwanso kuyankha pakusintha kwamitengo kwaposachedwa, zomwe zingayambitse kulowa mochedwa kapena kutuluka. Choncho, pamene SMA ndi chida chamtengo wapatali, chiyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito pamodzi ndi zizindikiro zina ndi njira zowunikira kuti zikhale ndi zotsatira zabwino.
Kuti mupindule kwambiri ndi SMA, traders akuyenera kuganizira kugwiritsa ntchito ngati gawo la njira zogulitsira. Izi zitha kuphatikiza kuphatikiza SMA ndi zizindikiro zotsogolera, monga Relative Strength Index (RSI), kuti mupeze chithunzi chokwanira cha msika. Potero, traders amatha kupititsa patsogolo mphamvu zazizindikiro zotsalira komanso zotsogola, kukulitsa luso lawo lopanga phindu. trades.
3.2. Zizindikiro Zonama
M'dziko lazamalonda, sizizindikiro zonse zomwe zimapangidwa mofanana. Zina, monga mtanda wa golidi kapena mtanda wa imfa, zitha kukhala zizindikilo zamphamvu za msika womwe ukubwera wa ng'ombe kapena zimbalangondo. Koma ena, monga zizindikiro zabodza zomwe nthawi zina zimachitika pogwiritsa ntchito a Average Yoyenda Yosavuta (SMA), akhoza kutsogolera traders kusokera ngati sasamala.
Chimodzi mwa zizindikiro zabodza kwambiri ndi chikwapu. Izi zimachitika pamene msika uli wosasunthika ndipo mtengo umadutsa pamwamba ndi pansi pa mzere wa SMA, kutulutsa zizindikiro zogula ndi kugulitsa zomwe zingasokoneze. traders ndikupangitsa zisankho zolakwika. Zizindikiro zabodzazi zimakhala zofala kwambiri panthawi yakusatsimikizika kwa msika kapena pamene nkhani zazikuluzikulu zimabweretsa kusinthasintha kwamitengo kwadzidzidzi.
Mtundu wina wa chizindikiro chabodza ndi anali. Chifukwa SMA imawerengedwa pogwiritsa ntchito deta yakale, nthawi zina imatha kuchedwa kuyankha kusintha kwachangu pamtengo. Izi zitha kupangitsa kuti SMA iwonetse kusintha komwe mtengo ukutsika, kapena mosemphanitsa. Traders omwe amadalira SMA pazosankha zawo zamalonda amatha kugula kapena kugulitsa nthawi yolakwika ngati saganizira izi.
Kotero zingatheke bwanji traders kupewa zizindikiro zabodza izi? Njira imodzi ndiyo kugwiritsa ntchito a nthawi yayifupi za SMA. Izi zitha kupangitsa SMA kulabadira kwambiri kusintha kwamitengo yaposachedwa ndikuchepetsa mwayi wa zikwapu ndi ma lags. Komabe, zitha kuonjezeranso chiwopsezo chogulitsa mopitilira muyeso, popeza SMA ipanga ma siginecha ambiri.
Njira ina ndi ku kuphatikiza SMA ndi zizindikiro zina luso, monga Relative Strength Index (RSI) kapena Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Izi zitha kupereka zina zowonjezera ndikuthandizira kutsimikizira ngati chizindikiro chochokera ku SMA chingakhale cholondola.
Pamapeto pake, chinsinsi chopewera zizindikiro zabodza mukamagwiritsa ntchito SMA ndikumvetsetsa zofooka zake ndikuzigwiritsa ntchito ngati gawo lazamalonda, m'malo modalira payokha. Potero, traders amatha kupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino ndikuwonjezera mwayi wawo wochita bwino pamsika.
3.3. Kusagwira ntchito m'misika yosasinthika
Misika yosasinthika, pamene akupereka mwayi wochuluka, angakhalenso malo oberekera zoperewera. Izi ndizowona makamaka mukamagwiritsa ntchito njira yosavuta yosuntha (SMA) ngati chida chamalonda. SMA, mwachilengedwe chake, ndi chizindikiro chotsalira. Imawerengera mtengo wapakati pa nthawi inayake, potero imawongolera kusinthasintha kwamitengo ndikupereka malingaliro omveka bwino azomwe zikuchitika.
Komabe, pamsika wosasunthika, zotsatira zosalalazi nthawi zina zimatha kubisa kusintha kwamitengo komwe kumadziwika ndi misika yotere. Pamene SMA imachita kusintha kwamitengo ndikuchedwa, traders angadzipeze akupanga zisankho kutengera zomwe zachikale. Izi zingapangitse mwayi wophonya kapena, choipitsitsa, kulowa tradepamitengo yosavomerezeka.
Kuchita ndi kusakhazikika kwa msika ndipamene SMA ingasonyeze zofooka zake. Nthawi yotalikirapo yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito pa SMA, imayamba pang'onopang'ono kusintha kwamitengo. Izi zitha kupangitsa kuti munthu alowe mochedwa kapena kutuluka. Mosiyana ndi izi, nthawi yayifupi ya SMA idzachitapo kanthu mwachangu, koma ikhoza kupanga zizindikiro zabodza pamene imakhudzidwa ndi kusinthasintha kwakung'ono kwamitengo.
Kugonjetsa kusayenerera uku kumafuna njira ina. Traders atha kulingalira kugwiritsa ntchito kuphatikiza kwa ma SMA anthawi zosiyanasiyana kuti agwire mayendedwe akanthawi kochepa komanso momwe zimakhalira nthawi yayitali. Kuphatikiza apo, kuphatikiza zina zizindikiro zaumisiri kapena kusanthula kofunikira munjira yanu yogulitsira imatha kukupatsani malingaliro ochulukirapo amsika, kuthandiza kuchepetsa malire a SMA m'misika yosasinthika.
Kumbukirani, chida chilichonse chogulitsira chimakhala ndi mphamvu ndi zofooka zake. Chofunikira ndikumvetsetsa izi, sinthani njira yanu moyenera, ndipo nthawi zonse khalani okonzekera kusatsimikizika kwamisika.
4. Malangizo Opambana Malonda a SMA
Kumvetsetsa Zoyambira ndi sitepe yoyamba yopita ku malonda a SMA ogwira mtima. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) ndi chizindikiro chaukadaulo chomwe traders amagwiritsa ntchito kuzindikira mayendedwe. Zimawerengedwa poyerekezera nambala inayake yamitengo yam'mbuyomu. Izi zimachepetsa kusinthasintha kwamitengo, kupangitsa kuti zikhale zosavuta kuwona zomwe zikuchitika.
Kusankha Nthawi Yoyenera ndizofunikira. Kutalika kwa SMA yomwe mumasankha kumadalira mtundu wanu wamalonda. M'masiku ochepa patsogolo traders nthawi zambiri amagwiritsa ntchito 10 kapena 20-day SMA, pomwe nthawi yayitali traders angakonde SMA yamasiku 50 kapena 200. Kumbukirani, nthawi yayitali, SMA imakhala yofunika kwambiri.
Kugwiritsa ntchito SMA Crossovers ikhoza kuwonetsa mwayi wogula kapena kugulitsa. Crossover ya bullish imachitika pamene SMA yaifupi idutsa pamwamba pa SMA yayitali, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuthekera kokwera. Mosiyana ndi izi, kutsika kwamphamvu kumachitika pamene SMA yaifupi idutsa pansi pa SMA yayitali, zomwe zikuwonetsa kutsika komwe kungachitike.
Kuphatikiza SMA ndi Zizindikiro Zina ikhoza kupereka zizindikiro zodalirika. Ngakhale SMA ndi chida champhamvu, sichosalephera. Ganizirani kugwiritsa ntchito pamodzi ndi zizindikiro zina monga Relative Strength Index (RSI) kapena Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) kuti mutsimikizire zizindikiro ndikuchepetsa chiopsezo cha zolakwika.
Kuchita Zowopsa Zoyang'anira ndizofunikira pakugulitsa kwa SMA. Nthawi zonse khalani ndi malamulo oletsa kutayika kuti muchepetse kutayika komwe kungathe komanso kuyitanitsa phindu kuti mupeze phindu. Komanso, musamawononge ndalama zambiri kuposa zomwe mungathe kutaya. Kugulitsa kumakhala kowopsa, ndipo ngakhale SMA ikhoza kukuthandizani kupanga zisankho mwanzeru, sikungakupatseni phindu.
M'dziko la SMA malonda, Consistency ndi Chinsinsi. Gwirizanani ndi chanu ndondomeko ya malonda, ngakhale pamene zinthu sizikuyenda monga momwe amayembekezera. Zosankha zamaganizo nthawi zambiri zimabweretsa zolakwika. Khalani odzisunga, pitirizani kuphunzira, ndi kusintha njira zanu pamene mukupeza zambiri. Kumbukirani, malonda opambana ndi marathon, osati kuthamanga.
4.1. Kuphatikiza SMA ndi Price Action
Kuyanjanitsa Simple Moving Average (SMA) ndi Price Action ikhoza kukhala kusintha kwamasewera traders. Zili ngati kuphatikizira kulondola kwa wotchi yaku Swiss ndi intuition ya yokhazikika trader. SMA, ndi kuthekera kwake kothetsa phokoso la msika ndikuwulula zomwe zikuchitika, imapereka maziko olimba. Koma mukamaphimba izi ndi Price Action - nkhani yeniyeni, yosasefedwa pamsika, mumatsegula mgwirizano wamphamvu.
Price Action ndiye kugunda kwamtima kwa msika, nkhani yaiwisi, yosasinthika yakupereka ndi kufunikira. Ndiwo trader's maikulosikopu, kuwonetsa kusintha kwa mphindi ndi mphindi mu malingaliro. Kuphatikizidwa ndi SMA, imapereka mawonekedwe ambalame pamayendedwe amsika komanso chidziwitso chaching'ono mu psychology yamsika.
Tiyeni tiphwanye njira iyi. Yambani ndikuzindikira zomwe zikuchitika pogwiritsa ntchito SMA yanu. Kukwera kwa SMA kukuwonetsa kukwera, pomwe SMA yakugwa ikuwonetsa kutsika. Mukakhazikitsa zomwe zikuchitika, yang'anani ku Price Action. Yang'anani mitengo yamitengo yomwe imatsimikizira zomwe zikuchitika. Mwachitsanzo, mu uptrend, mutha kuwona kuchuluka kwapamwamba komanso kutsika kwambiri.
Koma matsenga enieni amachitika pamene SMA ndi Price Action sagwirizana. Apa ndipamene mutha kuwona zosinthika zomwe zingatheke. Ngati SMA ikukwera, koma Price Action iyamba kupanga zotsika komanso zotsika, zitha kuwonetsa kutsika komwe kukubwera. Mosiyana ndi izi, kugwa kwa SMA yokhala ndi Price Action kupanga kukwera kwambiri komanso kutsika kumatha kuwonetsa kukwera komwe kukubwera.
Kumbukirani, kulumikiza SMA ndi Price Action sikungokhudza kupeza 'zangwiro' trade. Ndiko kumvetsetsa mozama za msika, kukonza zisankho zanu, ndipo pamapeto pake, kukulitsa magwiridwe antchito anu. Ndi njira yomwe imafuna kuleza mtima, kudziletsa, ndi kufunitsitsa kutero kuphunzira kuchokera kumsika. Koma kwa amene amachidziŵa bwino, mphotho zake zingakhale zazikulu.
4.2. Kugwiritsa Ntchito Ma SMA Angapo Pakutsimikizira
Zikafika pa malonda, kumveka bwino ndikofunika. Njira imodzi yothandiza kwambiri yochitira izi ndi kugwiritsa ntchito ma Simple Moving Averages (SMA) kuti mutsimikizire. Njira iyi imaphatikizapo kugwiritsa ntchito ma SMA awiri kapena kuposerapo okhala ndi mafelemu osiyanasiyana kuti mutsimikizire ma signature anu.
Mwachitsanzo, mungagwiritse ntchito a SMA yamasiku 50 Pamodzi ndi SMA yamasiku 200. Pamene SMA ya masiku 50 idutsa pamwamba pa SMA ya masiku 200, ndi chizindikiro chosonyeza kuti ikhoza kukhala nthawi yabwino yogula. Mosiyana ndi izi, SMA ya masiku 50 ikadutsa pansi pa SMA ya masiku 200, ndi chizindikiro chosonyeza kuti ingakhale nthawi yogulitsa.
Chomwe chimapangitsa kugwiritsa ntchito ma SMA angapo kukhala amphamvu kwambiri ndi kutsimikizira amapereka. Zili ngati kukhala ndi lingaliro lachiwiri pazosankha zanu zamalonda - pomwe ma SMA onse akulozera mbali imodzi, mutha trade ndi chidaliro chochuluka. Koma kumbukirani, palibe njira yomwe ili yopusa. Nthawi zonse ganizirani zinthu zina zamsika ndikugwiritsa ntchito zotayika kuti muthetse ngozi yanu moyenera.
Kuphatikiza apo, mutha kuyesanso mafelemu osiyanasiyana anthawi kuti muwone kuti ndi ati omwe amagwira ntchito bwino pamachitidwe anu ogulitsa. Ena traders angakonde kugwiritsa ntchito SMA yamasiku 10 ndi 20, pomwe ena atha kupeza SMA yamasiku 100 ndi masiku 200 yothandiza kwambiri. Chinsinsi ndichoti kuyesa ndi kusintha mpaka mutapeza bwino lomwe likugwirizana ndi malonda anu.
Kuti timvetse zimenezi, tiyeni tione chitsanzo. Tiyerekeze kuti mtengo wa katundu ukukwera, ndipo ma SMA anu amasiku 50 ndi 200 nawonso akukwera. Ichi chikhoza kukhala chizindikiro champhamvu kuti chizoloŵezi chokwera chikhoza kupitiriza. Kumbali inayi, ngati mtengowo ukutsika ndipo ma SMA onse akutsikanso, zitha kukhala chizindikiro kuti kutsika kupitirirebe.
M'malo mwake, kugwiritsa ntchito ma SMA angapo kuti mutsimikizire ndi chida chosavuta koma champhamvu chomwe chingakuthandizeni kupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino zamalonda. Zimapereka chithunzi chomveka bwino chamsika wamsika ndipo zitha kukulitsa mwayi wanu wopambana muzamalonda.
4.3. Kuphatikiza SMA ndi Risk Management
Average Yoyenda Yosavuta (SMA) ndi chida champhamvu mu a trader's arsenal, koma mphamvu yake imatha kukulitsidwa kwambiri ikaphatikizidwa ndi njira zowongolera zoopsa. Njirayi imatsimikizira osati phindu lokha komanso chitetezo cha likulu lanu.
SMA imapereka chithunzithunzi chomveka bwino cha msika wonse, kulola traders kuti muzindikire malo omwe mungathe kulowa ndi kutuluka. Komabe, msika sunadziwike ndipo ngakhale zizindikiro zodalirika nthawi zina zimatha kulephera. Apa ndi pamene kukonza ngozi masitepe mkati. Ndi za kukhazikitsa amasiya zotayika ndi kutenga milingo phindu, kusamalira ndalama zanu pa trade, ndikusintha mbiri yanu.
Lekani zotayika ndizofunika kwambiri pakuwongolera zoopsa. Pokhazikitsa a kusiya kutaya, mumachepetsa kutayika kwanu ngati msika ukuyenda motsutsana ndi malo anu. SMA ikhoza kukutsogolerani pakukhazikitsa magawo awa. Mwachitsanzo, ngati muli pamalo aatali, mutha kuyimitsa kuyimitsidwa kwanu pansi pa mzere wa SMA.
Tengani milingo ya phindu ndizofunikanso chimodzimodzi. Izi ndi mfundo zomwe mumatseka malo anu kuti muteteze phindu lanu. Apanso, SMA ikhoza kukhala chiwongolero chothandiza. Ngati mtengowo wakhala pamwamba pa mzere wa SMA ndikugwera pansi pake, ichi chingakhale chizindikiro kuti mutenge phindu lanu.
Kusamalira ndalama kumaphatikizapo kusankha kuchuluka kwa likulu lanu kuti muike pachiwopsezo chilichonse trade. Lamulo lodziwika bwino ndikuyika pachiwopsezo choposa 2% ya likulu lanu pamtundu umodzi trade. Mwanjira iyi, ngakhale mutakhala ndi zotayika zambiri, likulu lanu silidzafafanizidwa.
osiyana ndi mbali ina yofunika kwambiri yoyendetsera ngozi. Mwa kufalitsa mabizinesi anu pazinthu zosiyanasiyana, mumachepetsa chiwopsezo cha chinthu chimodzi chomwe chingawononge mbiri yanu. SMA ikhoza kukuthandizani kudziwa kuti ndi zinthu ziti zomwe zikuyenda bwino, zomwe zikuthandizira zisankho zosiyanasiyana.
Kuphatikizira SMA ndikuwongolera zoopsa sikumangokulitsa njira yanu yogulitsira komanso kumateteza likulu lanu. Ndi kuphatikiza kwamphamvu komwe kungapangitse kuti malonda apambane.
