1. Kumvetsetsa Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
Analysis luso ndi chida chofunikira kwambiri pazamalonda, chomwe chimagwiritsidwa ntchito nthawi zambiri traders kulosera mayendedwe amitengo yamtsogolo. Njirayi imakhudzanso kuphunzira momwe ziwerengero zimasonkhanitsidwa kuchokera kuzinthu zamalonda, monga kusuntha kwamitengo ndi kuchuluka kwake. Mosiyana kusanthula kwakukulu, yomwe imayang'ana kwambiri zamtengo wapatali wa kampani, kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumangoyang'ana ma chart a kayendetsedwe ka mitengo ndi zida zosiyanasiyana zowunikira kuwunika mphamvu kapena kufooka kwa chitetezo.
Pakatikati pa kusanthula kwaukadaulo pali lingaliro loti mitengo imayenda mumayendedwe. Traders omwe amagwiritsa ntchito njirayi amakhulupirira kuti zomwe zachitika m'mbuyomu komanso kusintha kwamitengo zitha kukhala zizindikiro zamtengo wapatali zomwe zingayembekezere mtsogolo. Amayang'ana mawonekedwe pama chart amitengo, monga 'mutu ndi mapewa' kapena 'double top', kuti alosere mayendedwe amtsogolo.
Zolemba zamakono ndi mbali zofunika za kusanthula luso. Awa ndi masamu owerengera kutengera mtengo, voliyumu, kapena chidwi chotseguka wa chitetezo kapena mgwirizano. Amapereka malingaliro apadera pa mphamvu ndi malangizo a mtengo wamtengo wapatali. Zina mwa zizindikiro zaukadaulo zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri ndi monga Moving Averages, Wachibale Mphamvu Index (RSI), Ndi Kusuntha Avereji ya Kusokonekera (MACD).
Komabe, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti palibe njira imodzi mumalonda yomwe imatsimikizira kupambana. Ngakhale kusanthula kwaukadaulo kungapereke zidziwitso zofunikira, ziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi njira ndi zida zina. Njira imeneyi imathandiza traders amapanga zisankho zodziwika bwino, kuchepetsa chiopsezo, ndi kuwonjezera mwayi wopeza phindu muzochita zawo zamalonda.
1.1. Tanthauzo la Technical Analysis
Analysis luso ndi njira yamalonda yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito kuwunika momwe ndalama zimakhalira ndikuzindikira mwayi wochita malonda. Ndi njira yomwe imayang'ana machitidwe a msika, makamaka kudzera mu kafukufuku wamsika wamsika, makamaka mtengo ndi kuchuluka. Mosiyana ndi kusanthula kofunikira, komwe kumayang'ana kwambiri kufunika kwa kampani, kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumangoyang'ana pamachitidwe, machitidwe, ndi zizindikiro.
Pankhani yamalonda, kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumafanana ndi kampasi ya navigator, kutsogolera traders kudutsa nyanja yayikulu ya data yamisika yazachuma. Ndi njira mwadongosolo kuti zimadalira kwambiri ma chart ndi ma statistical metrics kulosera zakuyenda kwamitengo yamtsogolo.
Mfundo yaikulu ya kusanthula kwaukadaulo ndikuti mtengo wamsika umawonetsa zidziwitso zonse zofunikira, chifukwa chake kuphunzira zamitengo ndizomwe zimafunikira. Imagwira pamalingaliro atatu ofunikira: msika umachotsera chilichonse, mitengo imayenda m'machitidwe, ndipo mbiri imakonda kubwereza yokha.
Lingaliro loyamba, 'misika imachotsera chilichonse', imasonyeza kuti mtengo wa chitetezo umasonyeza chirichonse chomwe chingakhudze chitetezo - zinthu zachuma, maganizo a msika, nyengo ya ndale, ndi zina zotero. Lingaliro lachiwiri, 'mitengo imayenda mumayendedwe', imanena kuti mitengo nthawi zambiri imayenda kudera linalake kwa nthawi. Lingaliro lachitatu komanso lomaliza, 'mbiri imakonda kubwereza yokha', imachokera ku psychology yamsika yomwe nthawi zambiri imakonda kuchitapo kanthu kuzinthu zofanana pakapita nthawi.
Kusanthula kwaukadaulo ndi chida chofunikira kwa aliyense trader pofuna kupeza phindu lokhazikika. Imapereka mawonekedwe apadera pakuwunika kwachuma, kupereka magalasi osiyanasiyana momwe mungawonere ndikudziwiratu momwe msika ukuyendera. Komabe, monga chida chilichonse, chimayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito moyenera komanso molumikizana ndi zida zina kuti chikhale chogwira mtima. Traders ayenera kukumbukira kuti kusanthula kwaukadaulo ndikwaluso kwambiri kuposa sayansi, komwe kumagwira ntchito kumagona pakutha kuzindikira mwayi wochita malonda.
1.2. Mfundo Zazikulu za Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
Kusanthula kwaukadaulo ndi njira yamalonda yomwe imafuna kulosera zamtsogolo zamtsogolo zamitengo powerenga zomwe zidachitika zamsika. Makamaka, imayang'ana kwambiri pamitengo ndi kuchuluka kwazinthu, zomwe zimayikidwa pama chart munthawi zosiyanasiyana. Mitengo yamitengo ndi Zizindikiro zaluso ndi zida ziwiri zazikulu zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pakuwunikaku.
Mitengo yamitengo ndi zithunzi zosonyeza kusuntha kwamitengo komwe kumadziwika m'magulu amalonda. Nthawi zambiri amapangidwa pakapita nthawi ndipo amatha kuwonetsa kupitiliza kapena kusinthidwa kwa zomwe zikuchitika. Zina mwazodziwika bwino ndi Mutu ndi Mapewa, Pamwamba Pawiri ndi Pansi, ndi mitundu yosiyanasiyana ya Matatu.
Zolemba zamakono, kumbali ina, ndi masamu masamu kutengera mtengo wa chitetezo ndi/kapena voliyumu. Iwo amathandiza traders amazindikira zinthu zina zamsika monga zomwe zikuchitika, kusakhazikika, kukwera, ndi mphamvu zamsika. Zitsanzo za zizindikiro zodziwika bwino zimaphatikizapo Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ndi Bollinger Magulu.
Kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumaganiza kuti zidziwitso zonse zamsika zimawonetsedwa pamtengo, kutanthauza kuti zinthu zonse zomwe zingakhudze mtengo wachitetezo zidayikidwa kale. Izi zimadziwika kuti the Msika Wogulitsa Wamisika (EMH). Mfundo ina yofunika kwambiri ndikuti kusuntha kwamitengo sikungochitika mwachisawawa, nthawi zambiri kumatsata njira. Izi nthawi zambiri zimatchedwa Chiphunzitso cha Dow.
Pomaliza, mbiri imakonda kubwereza yokha. Mfundo imeneyi makamaka yozikidwa pa psychology ya msika, yomwe imakonda kukhala yodziwikiratu motengera malingaliro monga mantha kapena chisangalalo. Tchati chati ndi Zizindikiro zaluso angagwiritsidwe ntchito kulosera za kayendetsedwe ka mitengo yamtsogolo kutengera mbiri yakale.
Kumbukirani, ngakhale kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumatha kukhala kothandiza kwambiri, sikuli kopusa. Iyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi kusanthula kofunikira komanso njira zowongolera ndalama kuti muwonjezere mwayi wanu wochita bwino pamalonda.
1.3. Ubwino wa Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
Kusanthula kwaukadaulo, njira yomwe nthawi zambiri imagwiritsidwa ntchito ndi traders, imapereka maubwino ambiri omwe angakulitseni kwambiri njira malonda. M'malo mwake, kusanthula luso imapereka chidziwitso chozama cha psychology yamsika. Zimakuthandizani kuti mumvetsetse momwe akumvera pagulu la onse omwe akutenga nawo gawo pamsika, ndikupereka chithunzi chomveka bwino cha zomwe ambiri amalingalira pa msika womwe ulipo.
Mbiri yakale yamitengo ndi machitidwe kupanga maziko a kusanthula luso. Powerenga machitidwewa, mutha kulosera zakuyenda kwamitengo yamtsogolo molondola. Kutha kulosera kumeneku ndi chida champhamvu chomwe chingakuthandizeni kupanga zisankho zanzeru za nthawi yogula ndi kugulitsa.
Kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumaperekanso zotsatsavantage of kugwiritsa ntchito nthawi zambiri. Kaya ndinu tsiku trader kuyang'ana pa kusintha kwa mphindi ndi mphindi kapena wobwereketsa wanthawi yayitali akuphunzira zochitika zapachaka, kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumatha kupangidwa kuti zigwirizane ndi zosowa zanu.
Phindu lina lalikulu ndi kusinthasintha m'misika yosiyanasiyana. Mutha kugwiritsa ntchito kusanthula kwaukadaulo ku m'matangadza, forex, katundu, ndipo ngakhale cryptocurrencies. Universality iyi imapangitsa kukhala chida chofunikira mu chilichonse trader ndi arsenal.
Pomaliza, kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumalola kugwiritsa ntchito makina ogulitsa okha. Machitidwewa amatha kuchita okha trades kutengera zisonyezo zaukadaulo zomwe mwakhazikitsa, zimakupulumutsirani nthawi komanso zomwe zingakuthandizeni kupewa zisankho zamalonda.
M'malo mwake, phindu la kusanthula kwaukadaulo ndilambiri, zomwe zimapangitsa kukhala gawo lofunikira mubokosi lazida zilizonse zazikulu. trader. Kuyambira kumvetsetsa zama psychology zamsika mpaka kulosera zamtsogolo zamitengo yamtsogolo, zopindulitsa zake zidapangidwa kuti zikuthandizeni kuyendetsa msika molimba mtima komanso bwino.
1.4. Zochepera pa Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
Ngakhale pali zidziwitso zambiri zomwe kusanthula kwaukadaulo kungapereke, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti si mpira wa kristalo wokhala ndi mphamvu yolosera mayendedwe amsika am'tsogolo motsimikizika. Kusanthula kwaukadaulo kuli ndi malire ake, ndipo kumvetsa zimenezi n’kofunika mofanana ndi kudziŵa bwino zida ndi njira zake zokha.
Chimodzi mwazolepheretsa chachikulu ndicho kusanthula kwaukadaulo kwakukulukulu amanyalanyaza mfundo zazikulu monga kuchuluka kwachuma, machitidwe amakampani, ndi momwe kampani ikuyendera. Ngakhale mtengo ndi kuchuluka kwa data zitha kuwulula zambiri zamalingaliro amsika, sizingapereke chithunzi chonse. Izi zikutanthauza kuti a trader amene amangodalira kusanthula kwaukadaulo akhoza kuphonya zidziwitso zofunika zomwe zingakhudze zisankho zawo zamalonda.
Wina drawback kuti luso kusanthula ndi zochokera ku mbiri yakale, ndipo monga mwambi wakale umanena, zomwe zidachitika kale sizikuwonetsa zotsatira zamtsogolo. Mikhalidwe yamsika imatha kusintha mwachangu, ndipo machitidwe omwe adakhala owona m'mbuyomu sangagwire ntchito m'tsogolomu.
Komanso, kusanthula luso nthawi zina kungakhale malinga ndi kutanthauzira. Zosiyana traders akhoza kusanthula tchati chomwecho ndikubwera ndi malingaliro osiyanasiyana. Izi ndizowona makamaka pankhani yozindikiritsa machitidwe, omwe nthawi zambiri amatha kukhala aluso kwambiri kuposa sayansi.
Pomaliza, ndi bwino kuzindikira zimenezo si zotetezedwa zonse zoyenera kusanthula luso. Mwachitsanzo, zotetezedwa ndi zochepa malire kapena kusasunthika kwakukulu sikungawonetse machitidwe omwe kusanthula kwaukadaulo kumafuna kuzindikira.
Kwenikweni, kusanthula kwaukadaulo kungakhale chida chamtengo wapatali mu a trader's arsenal, sayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito paokha. Nthawi zonse ndibwino kuti muwonjezere kusanthula kwanu kwaukadaulo ndi njira zina zowunikira ndikukhala osinthika mukakumana ndi kusintha kwa msika.
2. Zida Zofunikira mu Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
Charting mapulogalamu ndiye msana wa kusanthula kwaumisiri, kupereka chiwonetsero chowoneka chakuyenda kwamitengo pakapita nthawi. Zida zamapulogalamuwa zimakulolani kujambula zochitika, chiwembu Fibonacci misinkhu, ndi kuwonjezera kuchuluka kwa Zizindikiro zaluso monga kusuntha kwapakati, Magulu a Bollinger, ndi Relative Strength Index (RSI) kuma chart anu.
The tchati choyatsira makandulo ndimakonda pakati traders, chifukwa imapereka chidziwitso chochulukirapo kuposa tchati chosavuta. Choyikapo nyali chilichonse chimayimira nthawi yeniyeni ndipo chimasonyeza kutsegulira, kutseka, kukwera, ndi mitengo yotsika panthawiyo. Thupi la choyikapo nyali limasonyeza mitengo yotsegulira ndi kutseka, pamene chingwe (kapena mthunzi) chimasonyeza mitengo yapamwamba ndi yotsika. Zoyikapo nyali, monga Doji kapena Hammer, zimatha kupereka traders zidziwitso zamtengo wapatali pamalingaliro amsika.
Zolemba zamakono ndi masamu masamu kutengera mtengo, voliyumu, kapena chiwongola dzanja. Zizindikirozi zingathandize traders kuzindikira mayendedwe, kudziwa kugulidwa mochulukira kapena kugulitsa mopitilira muyeso, ndikuwonetseratu mayendedwe amitengo yamtsogolo. Zizindikiro zina zodziwika bwino zimaphatikizapo Kupita Avereji Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator, ndi On-Balance Volume (OBV).
Volume ndi chida china chofunikira pakuwunika zaukadaulo. Zimayimira chiwerengero cha magawo kapena makontrakitala traded muchitetezo kapena msika munthawi yake. Voliyumu nthawi zambiri imagwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi kusanthula kwamitengo kutsimikizira zomwe zikuchitika, mawonekedwe, ndi mapangidwe a chart. Voliyumu yapamwamba nthawi zambiri imawonetsa chidwi chambiri chandalama ndipo ikhoza kukhala chizindikiro chakuyamba kwatsopano.
Kubwereranso ndi njira yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito poyesa njira zamalonda motsutsana ndi mbiri yakale kuti awone momwe akanachitira. Izi zingathandize traders amakonza njira zawo ndikuzindikira zolakwika zomwe zingachitike asanaike pangozi ndalama zenizeni. Mapulatifomu ambiri opangira ma charting amaphatikizapo kuthekera kobwerera kumbuyo, kukulolani kuti muyesere trades ndikuwunika momwe amagwirira ntchito pakapita nthawi.
Kumbukirani, ngakhale zida izi zitha kukhala zothandiza kwambiri, sizopanda pake. Palibe 'malo oyera' pamalonda, ndipo kusanthula kwaukadaulo kuyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi kusanthula kofunikira komanso mfundo zowongolera zowopsa.
2.1. Mitengo yamtengo
Mitengo yamitengo ndiwo maziko a kusanthula kwaukadaulo. Amayimira kutsika kwamitengo ndikuyenda kwamitengo yamisika munthawi inayake. Kwenikweni, tchati chamtengo ndi a trader's roadmap, kupereka chithunzi chambiri cha komwe chitetezo chakhala, kuwapangitsa iwo kulosera mophunzitsidwa bwino za komwe angapite.
Pali mitundu ingapo ya ma chart amitengo, koma atatu omwe amagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri ndi ma chart a mizere, mipiringidzo, ndi zoyikapo nyali. Iliyonse mwa izi imapereka mawonekedwe apadera pazantchito zamsika, kulola traders kuti muwone mayendedwe amitengo kuchokera kumakona osiyanasiyana.
Mndandanda wa mzere ndiwo njira yosavuta kwambiri yamitengo yamitengo, kupanga chiwembu chotseka mitengo pa nthawi yoikika. Amapereka mawonekedwe oyera, olunjika pamayendedwe amitengo koma alibe chidziwitso chatsatanetsatane chopezeka mumitundu ina yamatchati.
Ma chart a Bar, omwe amadziwikanso kuti OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) ma chart, amapereka zambiri kuposa ma chart a mizere. Barolo iliyonse imayimira nthawi imodzi (monga tsiku kapena ola), ndipo pamwamba ndi pansi pa bar zimawonetsa mitengo yapamwamba kwambiri komanso yotsika kwambiri panthawiyo, motsatana. Mzere wakumanzere wopingasa ukuwonetsa mtengo wotsegulira, pomwe wolondola ukuwonetsa mtengo wotseka.
Zithunzi zamakandulo ndi ofanana ndi ma bar chart koma amapereka zambiri. Amagwiritsa ntchito 'kandulo' kuyimira pakati pa mitengo yotseguka ndi yotseka, ndi 'wicks' kusonyeza mitengo yapamwamba ndi yotsika. Kandulo yodzaza (kapena yamitundu) imasonyeza kuti kutseka kunali kochepa kusiyana ndi nthawi yotseguka (nthawi ya bearish), pamene kandulo yopanda kanthu (kapena yamitundu yosiyanasiyana) imasonyeza kuti kutseka kunali kwakukulu kuposa nthawi yotseguka (nthawi ya bullish).
Kudziwa ma chart amitengo ndi gawo loyambira pakusanthula kwaukadaulo. Ndiwo chinsalu chomwe zizindikiro zina zonse zaumisiri ndi zida zimagwiritsidwa ntchito, kuzipanga kukhala chida chofunikira kwambiri trader ndi arsenal. Mukamafufuza mozama zaukadaulo, mupeza njira zambiri zomasulira ndikugwiritsa ntchito ma chart awa, ndikupereka zidziwitso zofunikira zomwe zingakuthandizeni kuwongolera zisankho zanu zamalonda.
2.2. Machitidwe Azithunzi
Mu gawo la ukadaulo waukadaulo, mizere yoyendera ndi zofunika kwambiri. Ndi zida zosavuta koma zamphamvu zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito traders kuzindikira ndi kutsatira malangizo amsika kapena "mayendedwe". Kwenikweni, mzere wamayendedwe ndi mzere wowongoka womwe umagwirizanitsa mfundo ziwiri kapena zingapo zamtengo wapatali ndikupitirira mpaka mtsogolo kuti ukhale ngati mzere wothandizira kapena kukana.
Pali mitundu iwiri ya mizere yamayendedwe - uptrend ndi kutsika. Mzere wokwera uli ndi malo otsetsereka ndipo umakokedwa pansi pazigawo zozindikirika mosavuta (zigwa). Mzerewu ukuyimira mlingo umene kugula chiwongoladzanja kumakhala kokwanira kuti tigonjetse kukakamiza kugulitsa ndipo motero, kuyendetsa mtengowo ukhale wapamwamba. Mosiyana ndi izi, mzere wa downtrend, womwe umakokedwa pamwamba pa madera odziŵika mosavuta (nsonga), uli ndi malo otsetsereka ndipo umatanthawuza mlingo umene kugulitsa kupanikizika kumagonjetsa chiwongoladzanja chogula, kuchititsa mtengo kutsika.
Kuzindikira mizere yamayendedwe ndi luso monga momwe ziliri sayansi. Pamafunika chizolowezi ndi kuleza mtima. Pojambula mizere yamayendedwe, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti mizere yolondola kwambiri ndi yomwe imakhudzidwa ndi mtengo osachepera katatu osasweka. Komabe, mzere wamayendedwe umakhala wosavomerezeka ukathyoka - chochitika chomwe nthawi zambiri chimawonetsa kusintha komwe kungachitike pamsika.
Mphamvu ya mizere yamayendedwe imakhala pakutha kwawo kupereka zowonetsera zowonetsera mtengo. Amalola traders kuti ayembekezere kutsika kwamitengo kapena kusinthika komwe kungachitike ndikupanga zisankho zodziwitsidwa moyenera. Kuphatikiza apo, mizere yamayendedwe imathanso kuphatikizidwa ndi zida zina zowunikira luso, monga kusinthana maulendo or oscillators, kuti awonjezere mphamvu zawo.
Kwenikweni, mizere yamayendedwe ndi a trader's njira yoyendera misika yosasinthika. Amapereka zidziwitso zamtengo wapatali pamayendedwe amsika ndi zosintha zomwe zitha kusintha, kuthandiza traders kupanga njira zawo trades ndikuwongolera zoopsa bwino. Kumvetsetsa mizere yamayendedwe ndi luso lofunikira kwa aliyense trader ndicholinga chofuna kuchita bwino mdziko lazamalonda.
2.3. Thandizo ndi Magawo Otsutsa
M'dziko la kusanthula kwaukadaulo, malingaliro ochepa ndi ofunikira komanso amphamvu ngati kuthandizira ndi kukaniza. Zolemba zofunika izi, zosawoneka ndi maso osaphunzitsidwa, zitha kukhala ngati njira yopezera phindu. Tangoganizani ngati zotchinga zosaoneka zomwe zimalepheretsa mtengo wa chinthu kukankhidwira mbali ina.
A mulingo wothandizira ndi mtengo wamtengo pomwe katundu amasiya kutsika chifukwa chofuna kupitilira kuperekedwa. Traders akuyembekeza kugula pamilingo iyi, kuyembekezera kuti mtengowo udzakweranso. Kumbali ina, a msinkhu woyimitsa ndi malo amtengo pomwe katundu nthawi zambiri amasiya kukwera chifukwa chopereka chimaposa zomwe zimafunikira. Traders akuyembekeza kugulitsa pamilingo iyi, kuyembekezera kuti mtengo ugwere pansi.
Koma mumadziwa bwanji magawo ovuta awa? Ndi zophweka kuposa momwe mungaganizire. Miyezo yothandizira ndi kukana imadziwika powona mitengo yamitengo pa tchati pomwe mtengowo udabwereranso pambuyo powagunda. Komabe, ndikofunikira kukumbukira kuti magawo awa samayikidwa mwala. Ndi madera omwe mtengo uli ndi kuthekera kwakukulu kobwerera, koma palibe chitsimikizo.
Matsenga enieni amachitika pamene a mlingo wothandizira umakhala wotsutsa kapena mosemphanitsa. Ngati mtengo wa katundu ukudutsa mulingo wothandizira, mlingowo ukhoza kukhala kukana kwatsopano. Mosiyana ndi zimenezo, ngati mtengo ukudutsa mulingo wotsutsa, ukhoza kukhala chithandizo chatsopano. Chodabwitsa ichi, chodziwika kuti a 'kusintha ntchito', ndi lingaliro lamphamvu pakuwunika kwaukadaulo komwe kungapereke mwayi wanzeru wamalonda.
Kuphatikizira magawo othandizira ndi kukana munjira yanu yogulitsira kungakuthandizeni kumvetsetsa msika, kupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino zamalonda, ndipo pamapeto pake, kuwongolera magwiridwe antchito anu. Koma kumbukirani, monga njira zonse zamalonda, ndikofunikira kuyeseza ndikuwongolera luso lanu pafupipafupi. Misika ikusintha nthawi zonse, ndipo zomwe zidagwira dzulo mwina sizingagwire mawa. Choncho khalani osinthasintha, sungani learning, ndipo malonda anu akhale opindulitsa nthawi zonse.
3. Udindo wa Zizindikiro mu Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
M'dziko lazamalonda, kugwiritsa ntchito zizindikiro kumagwira ntchito yofunika kwambiri kusanthula luso. Mawerengedwe a masamuwa, omwe amatengera mtengo, voliyumu, kapena chiwongola dzanja chotseguka cha chitetezo kapena mgwirizano, amakhala ngati nyali yotsogolera. tradeAmadutsa m'madzi amsika omwe nthawi zambiri amakhala amphuno. Zizindikiro zitha kugwiritsidwa ntchito kupanga ma siginecha olowera ndikutuluka, ndikupereka njira mwadongosolo yofikira malonda.
Indicators akhoza kugawidwa m'magulu awiri: otsogolera ndi otsalira. Zizindikiro zoyendetsa ndi zomwe zimaganiziridwa kuti zikuwonetseratu kayendetsedwe ka mtengo wamtsogolo, kupereka zizindikiro zisanachitike kusintha kwa mtengo. Amagwiritsidwa ntchito popanga ndi kugulitsa zikwangwani patsogolo pa msika. Zitsanzo za zizindikiro zotsogola zikuphatikizapo Relative Strength Index (RSI) ndi Stochastic Oscillator.
Mbali inayi, zizindikiro zotsalira kutsatira mayendedwe amitengo ndipo nthawi zambiri amagwiritsidwa ntchito kutsimikizira zomwe zikuchitika komanso zosinthika. Zimakhala zogwira mtima kwambiri pamene misika ikuyenda ndipo imapereka zizindikiro pambuyo poyambira. Kusuntha kwapakati ndi MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ndi zitsanzo zodziwika bwino za zizindikiro zotsalira.
Ngakhale zizindikiro zitha kukhala zothandiza kwambiri, ndikofunikira kuti musamangodalira iwo. Ayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zida ndi njira zina mkati mwa kusanthula kwaukadaulo. Izi zikuphatikizapo kumvetsetsa ma chart chart, mizere yamayendedwe, ndi chithandizo ndi kukana. Kumbukirani, palibe chizindikiro chimodzi chomwe chidzapereke mayankho onse. Chinsinsi ndikupeza kuphatikiza komwe kumakugwirirani ntchito komanso njira yanu yogulitsira.
Chimodzi mwa zinthu zofunika kwambiri kukumbukira ndi chakuti zizindikiro sizingalephereke. Ndizida zomwe zingakuthandizeni kupanga zisankho zophunzitsidwa, koma sizitsimikizo za kupambana. Ndikofunikira kuphatikiza kugwiritsa ntchito zizindikiro ndikumvetsetsa bwino msika, kuganiziridwa bwino. ndondomeko ya malonda, ndi njira yoyenera yoyendetsera zoopsa.
Mwakutero, zizindikiro ndi gawo lofunikira pakuwunika kwaukadaulo. Atha kupereka zidziwitso zamtengo wapatali pamayendedwe amsika komanso mwayi wotsatsa. Komabe, monga chida chilichonse, zimakhala zogwira mtima ngati munthu amene akuzigwiritsa ntchito. Kumvetsetsa mphamvu zawo ndi zolephera ndizofunika kwambiri kuti mugwiritse ntchito zizindikiro bwino mu malonda anu.
3.1. Kusuntha kwapakati
Kusuntha malire ndi mwala wapangodya wa kusanthula kwaukadaulo, kupereka traders ndi njira yowonera yotsata zomwe zikuchitika pamsika munthawi inayake. Chida ichi, kwenikweni, chimachepetsa kusinthasintha kwa msika kuti ziwonetsere momwe akuwongolera bwino. Mitundu iwiri yodziwika kwambiri ndi Kusuntha Mosavuta (SMA) ndi Zomwe Zimayendetsa Zofunika (EMA).
The SMA imawerengeredwa powonjezera mitengo yotseka yachitetezo kwa nthawi zina (monga masiku kapena masabata), kenako ndikugawa chiwonkhetsochi ndi kuchuluka kwa nthawi. Zotsatira zake ndi mzere wosalala kuti traders ikhoza kufananizidwa ndi mtengo wapano wa chitetezo kuti awone mayendedwe ake. The EMA, kumbali ina, imapereka kulemera kwakukulu kwa mitengo yaposachedwa. Izi zimapangitsa kuti zigwirizane ndi zatsopano, zomwe zingakhale zothandiza makamaka m'misika yosasinthika.
Kusuntha malire angagwiritsidwenso ntchito kupanga zizindikiro zamalonda. Mtengo ukawoloka kuposa kuchuluka kosuntha, zitha kuwonetsa nthawi yabwino yogula, chifukwa zikuwonetsa kukwera. Mosiyana ndi zimenezo, pamene mtengo udutsa pansi pa chiwerengero chosuntha, ukhoza kusonyeza nthawi yabwino yogulitsa, chifukwa zimasonyeza kutsika. Traders amathanso kugwiritsa ntchito mitundu iwiri yosuntha ya utali wosiyanasiyana ndikuwonera wamfupi akawoloka wamtali, njira yomwe imadziwika kuti kusuntha pafupifupi crossover.
Komabe, nthawi kusinthana maulendo ndi chida chamtengo wapatali, si zopusa. Zimatengera zomwe zidachitika kale ndipo zimatha kutsalira pambuyo pakusintha kwa msika weniweni. Chifukwa chake, sayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito paokha, koma molumikizana ndi zida zina zowunikira luso komanso kusanthula kofunikira. Izi zidzathandiza traders kupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino zomwe zingatheke.
Kumbukirani, chinsinsi cha malonda opambana si kudalira chida chimodzi kapena njira imodzi, koma kugwiritsa ntchito njira zosiyanasiyana zomwe zimagwirira ntchito limodzi kuti zikuthandizeni kumvetsetsa khalidwe la msika ndikulosera za kayendetsedwe kake ka mtsogolo.
3.2. Mphamvu Yachibale Index (RSI)
Kumvetsetsa Relative Strength Index (RSI) ikhoza kukhala kusintha kwamasewera traders akulowa mdziko laukadaulo wosanthula. Chida champhamvu ichi, chopangidwa ndi J. Welles Wilder, ndi oscillator othamanga omwe amayesa kuthamanga ndi kusintha kwa kayendetsedwe ka mtengo. Zimagwira ntchito mkati mwa sikelo ya 0 mpaka 100 ndipo zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pozindikira kugulidwa kapena kugulitsidwa kwambiri pamsika.
Kunena mwachidule, RSI imawerengera mphamvu yofananira ya chida china chamalonda. Imachita izi poyerekezera kukula kwa zopindula zake zaposachedwa ndi kukula kwa zotayika zake zaposachedwa. Zotsatira zake ndi mtengo womwe umapereka traders ndi chidziwitso chakulimba kapena kufooka kwa msika kutengera mitengo yotseka posachedwa.
Kutanthauzira makonda a RSI ndi zowongoka. Mtengo wa 70 kapena kupitilira apo ukuwonetsa kuti msika wagulidwa mopitilira muyeso, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti zitha kukhala zamtengo wapatali komanso chifukwa chowongolera mtengo kapena kubweza mtengo. Mosiyana ndi izi, mtengo wa RSI wa 30 kapena pansi umawonetsa msika wogulitsidwa mopitilira muyeso, kutanthauza kuti utha kukhala wocheperako komanso wokhwima chifukwa cha kutsika kwamitengo kapena kubweza mtengo.
Imodzi mwa njira zothandiza kwambiri zogwiritsira ntchito RSI ndikufufuza kusiyana. Izi zimachitika pamene mtengo wachitetezo ukuyenda mbali imodzi (mmwamba kapena pansi), koma RSI ikupita kwina. Kusiyana pakati pa mtengo ndi RSI kumatha kuwonetsa kusinthika komwe kungachitike, kupereka tradeNdi mwayi wolowa kapena kutuluka pamsika pamaso pa anthu.
RSI si yolephera, komabe. Monga zizindikiro zonse zaumisiri, ziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zida ndi njira zina. Traders iyeneranso kudziwa za msampha wa 'chizindikiro chabodza', pomwe RSI ingawonetse kusintha komwe sikungachitike. Ichi ndichifukwa chake ndikofunikira kugwiritsa ntchito RSI ngati gawo lazambiri, njira zogulitsira bwino.
M'malo mwake, Relative Strength Index ndi chizindikiro chosunthika komanso chogwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri chomwe chimapereka chidziwitso chofunikira pamikhalidwe yamsika. Pomvetsetsa kutanthauzira ndi kugwiritsa ntchito RSI, traders amatha kupititsa patsogolo zida zawo zowunikira luso ndikupanga zisankho zodziwika bwino zamalonda. Ndi luso lomwe lingakupatseni malire muzamalonda othamanga kwambiri.
3.3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The Kusuntha Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ndi chida chofunikira padziko lonse lapansi pakuwunika kwaukadaulo, chopangidwa kuti chipereke traders ndikumvetsetsa bwino momwe msika ukuyendera. Zimagwira ntchito pozindikira mgwirizano pakati pa magawo awiri osuntha a mtengo wachitetezo. MACD imawerengedwa pochotsa 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kuchokera ku EMA ya 12. Zotsatira zake ndi mzere wa MACD.
Mzere wa chizindikiro, womwe ndi EMA wa masiku 9 a MACD, umakonzedwa pamwamba pa mzere wa MACD, umakhala ngati choyambitsa kugula ndi kugulitsa zizindikiro. MACD ikadutsa pamwamba pa mzere wa chizindikiro, imasonyeza chizindikiro cha bullish (kugula), ndipo ikadutsa pansi, imasonyeza chizindikiro cha bearish (kugulitsa).
Zomwe zimapangitsa MACD chochititsa chidwi kwambiri ndicho kusinthasintha kwake. Sikothandiza kokha pakuzindikiritsa mwayi wogula ndi kugulitsa komanso kuwonetsa kusintha komwe kungachitike pamsika. Pamene MACD ndi mzere wa chizindikiro umasiyana wina ndi mzake, umadziwika ngati kusiyana. Kusiyanitsa kungakhale chizindikiro champhamvu chakuti zomwe zikuchitika panopa zatsala pang'ono kusintha, kupereka traders ndi mwayi woyembekezera komanso kupindula pakusintha kwamisika.
Komanso, a MACD imathandizanso kuzindikira zinthu zomwe zidagulidwa kwambiri komanso zogulitsa mopitilira muyeso. Mzere wa MACD ukachoka pa mzere wa zero, umasonyeza kuti chitetezo chakwera kwambiri, ndipo chikapita ku mzere wa zero, chimasonyeza kuti chitetezo chikugulitsidwa kwambiri.
Kwenikweni, MACD ndi chida chamitundumitundu, chopereka traders njira yokwanira yowunikira msika. Ndi chida chofunikira kwambiri pazida zilizonse trader, woyamba kapena wodziwa zambiri, kufunafuna kuyendera dziko lamphamvu komanso losayembekezereka lazamalonda.
3.4. Mabungwe a Bollinger
Padziko laukadaulo, chida chimodzi chimadziwika chifukwa cha luso lake lapadera lopereka chithandizo ndi kukana: Bollinger magulu. Yopangidwa ndi John Bollinger m'zaka za m'ma 1980, chizindikiro chaumisirichi chimakhala ndi chiwerengero chosavuta chosuntha (gulu lapakati) ndi magulu awiri akunja, owerengedwa kutengera kupatuka kokhazikika. Kupatuka kokhazikika ndi muyeso wa kusakhazikika, chifukwa chake, maguluwa amakula panthawi yakusakhazikika kwambiri komanso mgwirizano pakanthawi kochepa.
Kukongola kwa Bollinger magulu zagona mu kusinthasintha kwawo. Angagwiritsidwe ntchito munjira zosiyanasiyana zamalonda kuti azindikire malo olowera ndi kutuluka, geji Malonda osasunthika, ndikumvetsetsa zosinthika zomwe zingachitike. Mtengo ukakhudza gulu lapamwamba, ukhoza kuwoneka ngati wogulidwa, zomwe zikuwonetsa mwayi wogulitsa. Mosiyana ndi zimenezo, pamene mtengo ukhudza mtengo wotsika, ukhoza kuwonedwa ngati wogulitsidwa kwambiri, kutanthauza mwayi wogula.
Njira imodzi yotchuka yokhudzana ndi Bollinger magulu ndi 'Bollinger Bounce'. M'misika yosiyanasiyana, mitengo imakonda kutsika pakati pa magulu apamwamba ndi otsika, kupereka mwayi wambiri wochita malonda. Njira ina ndi 'Bollinger Squeeze', pomwe kutsika kwamagulu kumatha kutsogola kutsika kwamitengo.
Komabe, monga chida chilichonse chamalonda, Bollinger magulu sali osalakwa ndipo ayenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito limodzi ndi zizindikiro zina kuonjezera mwayi wopambana trades. Mwachitsanzo, kuwaphatikiza ndi a chizindikiro champhamvu monga Relative Strength Index (RSI) ikhoza kuthandizira kutsimikizira kugulitsa kapena kugulitsa kwambiri.
Pomaliza, chinsinsi bwino ntchito Bollinger magulu zagona pakumvetsetsa zofooka zawo ndi mphamvu zawo, ndikuziphatikiza munjira zonse zamalonda. Kaya ndinu novice trader kapena odziwa bwino ntchito, maguluwa atha kupereka zidziwitso zofunikira pamsika komanso mwayi wochita malonda.
4. Kupanga Njira Yogulitsira ndi Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
kusanthula luso ndi luso lofunika lililonse trader ndiyenera. Ndi njira yothandizira traders kulosera za mayendedwe amtsogolo amitengo, katundu, ndi zida zina zachuma. Mfundo yaikulu ya njirayi ili m'chikhulupiriro chakuti kusuntha kwamitengo yakale kungapereke chidziwitso cha momwe mitengo yamtsogolo idzayendera.
Chinthu chimodzi chofunikira pakuwunika kwaukadaulo ndi kupanga njira yamalonda. Ili ndi dongosolo lomwe limafotokoza nthawi ndi momwe a trader adzalowa ndikutuluka trades, katundu wanji trade, ndi momwe mungasamalire ngozi. Ndi mapu amsewu omwe angawongolere tradekupyola m'dziko lazamalonda lomwe nthawi zambiri limakhala lachisokonezo komanso losayembekezereka.
Tchati chati ndi chida chofunika kwambiri mu luso trader's toolkit. Izi ndizomwe zimawoneka pama chart amitengo ndipo zitha kuwonetsa kusuntha kwamitengo yamtsogolo. Mitundu yodziwika bwino imaphatikizapo mutu ndi mapewa, nsonga ziwiri ndi pansi, ndi makona atatu. Kumvetsetsa machitidwe awa kungapereke traders ndi chidziwitso chamtengo wapatali mu psychology yamsika komanso kusinthika kwamitengo komwe kungatheke.
Zolemba zamakono, mbali ina yofunika kwambiri pakuunika kwaukadaulo, ndi masamu owerengera potengera mtengo, voliyumu, kapena chidwi. Zizindikirozi zingathandize traders kuzindikira mayendedwe, kusakhazikika, ndi mikhalidwe ina yamsika. Zina mwazinthu zodziwika bwino zaukadaulo zikuphatikizapo Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ndi Bollinger Bands.
kasamalidwe chiopsezo ndi gawo lofunikira panjira iliyonse yamalonda. Zimaphatikizapo kukhazikitsa kupuma-kutaya amalamula kuti achepetse kutayika komwe kungatheke, kusiyanitsa mbiri yanu kuti ifalitse chiwopsezo, komanso osayika pachiwopsezo chopitilira gawo laling'ono la ndalama zanu zogulitsa pamtengo umodzi. trade.
Kumbukirani, palibe njira yamalonda yomwe ili yopusa. Ndikofunikira kuyesa mosalekeza, kuyenga, ndikusintha njira yanu kutengera kusintha kwa msika komanso momwe malonda anu amagwirira ntchito. Njira yabwino yopangira malonda, kuphatikizapo kumvetsetsa kolimba kwa kusanthula kwaumisiri, kungapangitse kwambiri mwayi wanu wochita bwino malonda.
4.1. Kuzindikiritsa Mwayi Wogulitsa
Kuzindikira mwayi wogulitsa ndi gawo lofunikira pakuwunika kwaukadaulo komwe aliyense trader, makamaka oyamba kumene, ayenera kudziwa bwino. Zonse zimayamba ndikumvetsetsa momwe msika umayendera komanso mawonekedwe. Makhalidwe awa, monga mutu ndi mapewa, nsonga ziwirindipo katatu, angapereke malingaliro okhudza kayendetsedwe ka mtengo mtsogolo.
Choyikapo nyali ndi chida china champhamvu mu zida zanu zamalonda. Atha kupereka zidziwitso zamtengo wapatali pamalingaliro amsika, kukulolani kulosera zomwe zingasinthidwe kapena kupitiliza. Mwachitsanzo, a kuwonjezeka kwakukulu chitsanzo chikhoza kusonyeza kukwera kwa mtengo kotheka, kukupatsani mwayi wogula.
Volume ndi chizindikiro china chofunikira kuti muwone. Kuwonjezeka kwadzidzidzi kwa voliyumu yamalonda kungasonyeze chidwi champhamvu cha msika pa chinthu china. Izi nthawi zambiri zimatha kutsogola kusuntha kwakukulu kwamitengo, kukupatsani mwayi woti mulowemo zisanachitike.
Kusuntha malire ingakuthandizeninso kuwona mwayi wamalonda. Mtengo ukadutsa chiŵerengero chosuntha, ukhoza kusonyeza kusintha. Mwachitsanzo, ngati mtengowo uwoloka kuposa kuchuluka komwe ukuyenda, ukhoza kuwonetsa kukwera kwatsopano, kuwonetsa mwayi wogula.
Pomaliza, musaiwale za Zizindikiro zaluso monga RSI, MACD, ndi Stochastic Oscillator. Izi zitha kukuthandizani kuzindikira zomwe zidagulidwa kapena kugulitsidwa mopitilira muyeso, ndikulozera zolowera kapena zotuluka.
Kumbukirani, ngakhale zida izi zitha kukhala zothandiza kwambiri, sizopanda pake. Nthawi zonse muzigwiritsa ntchito mogwirizana ndi ndondomeko yamalonda yoganizira bwino komanso njira yoyendetsera zoopsa.
4.2. Kuwongolera Zowopsa mu Kusanthula Kwaukadaulo
kasamalidwe chiopsezo ndi gawo lofunikira panjira iliyonse yamalonda, makamaka makamaka pankhani yaukadaulo. Ndi luso lochepetsera kutayika komwe kungachitike ndikukulitsa phindu, kulinganiza kosakhwima komwe kumafunikira luso komanso luso.
Pankhani ya kusanthula kwaukadaulo, kuyang'anira zoopsa kumaphatikizapo kuyang'ana mosamalitsa momwe msika ukuyendera, mitengo yamitengo, ndi zina zofunika. Traders amagwiritsa ntchito chidziwitsochi kupanga zisankho zanzeru za nthawi yolowera ndi kutuluka trades, potero amawongolera kukhudzidwa kwawo pachiwopsezo.
Njira imodzi yodziwika bwino yoyendetsera ngozi pakuwunika kwaukadaulo ndikugwiritsa ntchito kuyimitsa-kuyitanitsa. Awa ndi maoda omwe amayikidwa pamtengo wamtengo wapatali womwe, ngati utafika, umayambitsa kugulidwa kwa trader's Holdings. Izi zingathandize kupewa kutayika kwakukulu pakagwa mwadzidzidzi msika.
Chinthu china chofunika kwambiri chowongolera zoopsa ndi zosiyana. Pofalitsa ndalama zawo pazinthu zosiyanasiyana, traders ikhoza kuchepetsa kukhudzidwa komwe kungachitike chifukwa chandalama imodzi iliyonse pazachuma chawo chonse. Izi zitha kukhala zopindulitsa makamaka m'misika yosasinthika, pomwe kusinthasintha kwamitengo kungayambitse kuwonongeka kwakukulu.
Komabe, ndikofunikira kuzindikira kuti ngakhale njirazi zingathandize kuthana ndi ngozi, sizingathetseretu. Kugulitsa kulikonse kumakhudza mulingo wina wachiwopsezo, ndipo ndikofunikira traders kuti mumvetsetse ndikukhala omasuka ndi izi musanadumphire kudziko laukadaulo.
Udindo kukula ndi mbali ina yofunikira pakuwongolera zoopsa. Zimatanthawuza kuchuluka kwa ndalama zomwe zimaperekedwa kwa aliyense trade. Pozindikira mosamalitsa kukula kwa chilichonse trade, traders atha kuwonetsetsa kuti sawonetsedwa pazachuma chilichonse.
Kuwongolera zoopsa pakuwunika kwaukadaulo si njira imodzi yokha. Aliyense trader adzakhala ndi zolinga zawo zapadera zolekerera chiopsezo ndi zolinga zamalonda, zomwe zidzakhudza njira zawo zoyendetsera zoopsa. Chifukwa chake, ndikofunikira kupanga dongosolo lowongolera zoopsa zomwe zimagwirizana ndi zolinga zanu zamalonda komanso kulolerana ndi zoopsa.
Pamapeto pake, kuyang'anira ngozi moyenera kungapangitse kusiyana pakati pa kupambana ndi kulephera mu malonda. Sikuti tipewe chiopsezo kwathunthu, koma kumvetsetsa, kuyang'anira, ndikupangitsa kuti igwire ntchito pazotsatsa zanu.vantage.
4.3. Kufunika Kosasinthasintha
M'dziko la kusanthula kwaumisiri, munthu sangachepetse mphamvu yokhazikika. Sikuti ndikupeza zizindikiro zolondola kapena tchati; ndi kuzigwiritsa ntchito mosasintha. Mwachitsanzo, ngati mwasankha kugwiritsa ntchito Mphamvu Yachibale Index (RSI) monga gawo lofunikira la njira yanu, ndikofunikira kuti mugwiritse ntchito nthawi zonse. Izi zikutanthauza kuzigwiritsa ntchito kwa aliyense trade, osati kokha pamene zikuoneka kuti n’zabwino.
Kusasinthasintha kumagwiranso ntchito pa dongosolo lanu lonse la malonda. Muyenera kukhala ndi a malamulo omveka bwino nthawi yolowa ndi kutuluka a trade, kuchuluka kwa chiopsezo, ndi nthawi yoti mutenge phindu kapena kuchepetsa zotayika. Malamulowa ayenera kutsatiridwa mpaka kalata, nthawi zonse. Zingakhale zokopa kupatuka pa dongosolo pamene a trade sizikuyenda monga momwe amayembekezera, koma izi nthawi zambiri zimakhala zowopsa.
Komanso, kusasinthika kwanu kusanthula ndi kupanga zisankho ndi key. Izi zikutanthauza kuti musalumphe kuchoka ku njira imodzi kupita ku ina kutengera zomwe zachitika posachedwa kapena malangizo otentha. M'malo mwake, tsatirani njira yotsimikiziridwa ndikuyikonza pakapita nthawi. Izi zikuthandizani kuti mupange zisankho zoyenera, zomveka komanso kupewa kugulitsa malingaliro.
Ngakhale njira yabwino kwambiri yogulitsira siigwira ntchito ngati simugwiritsa ntchito nthawi zonse. Choncho, kaya ndinu novice tradeNditangoyamba kumene kapena katswiri wodziwa ntchito yemwe akufuna kuchita bwino, kumbukirani: kusasinthasintha ndikofunika. Sichinthu chosangalatsa kwambiri pamalonda, koma ndi chimodzi chomwe chingakupangitseni kapena kusokoneza kupambana kwanu.
