Zokonda Zapamwamba Za ALMA Ndi Njira

Kodi ALMA Indicator ndi chiyani

Arnaud Legoux Kupita Avereji (ALMA) ndi chizindikiro chaukadaulo chomwe chimagwiritsidwa ntchito m'misika yazachuma kusalaza mitengo yamitengo ndikuthandizira kuzindikira momwe msika ukuyendera. Idapangidwa ndi Arnaud Legoux ndi Dimitrios Kouzis Loukas, ndicholinga chochepetsa kutsalira komwe nthawi zambiri kumayenderana ndi kusuntha kwachikhalidwe ndikuwongolera kusalala komanso kuyankha.

Mfundo

ALMA imagwira ntchito pa mfundo yapadera. Amagwiritsa ntchito kugawa kwa Gaussian kuti apange pafupifupi yosalala komanso yomvera yosuntha. Njirayi imalola kuti itsatire mosamala deta yamtengo wapatali, ndikuipanga kukhala chida chamtengo wapatali traders omwe amadalira kulondola komanso nthawi yake pakuwunika kwawo.

Mawonekedwe

1. Kuchedwerako: Chimodzi mwazinthu zoyimilira za ALMA ndikutha kwake kuchepetsa kuchedwa, vuto lomwe limakhala ndi zosuntha zambiri. Pochita izi, zimapereka chisonyezero cholondola chamsika wamakono.
2. Zosintha: ALMA amalola traders kusintha magawo, monga kukula kwa zenera ndi kuchotsera, kuwapangitsa kuti azitha kusintha chizindikirocho kuti chigwirizane ndi masitayelo osiyanasiyana ogulitsa ndi msika.
3. Kusunthika: Ndizoyenera zida zosiyanasiyana zachuma, kuphatikiza m'matangadza, forex, katundu, ndi ma indices, kudutsa nthawi zosiyanasiyana.

ntchito

Traders nthawi zambiri amagwiritsa ntchito ALMA kuti adziwe komwe akupita, malo omwe angabwerere, komanso ngati maziko azizindikiro zina zamalonda. Kusalala kwake komanso kuchepa kwake kumapangitsa kuti ikhale yothandiza kwambiri m'misika yomwe imawonetsa phokoso lambiri kapena kusuntha kwamitengo kosasinthika.

Kuwerengera kwa Chizindikiro cha ALMA

Kumvetsetsa njira yowerengera ya Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) ndikofunikira kuti traders amene akufuna kusintha chizindikiro ichi molingana ndi malonda awo. Njira yapadera ya ALMA imayisiyanitsa ndi miyambo yosuntha yachikhalidwe pophatikiza fyuluta ya Gaussian.

chilinganizo

ALMA imawerengedwa pogwiritsa ntchito njira iyi:
ALMA(t) = ∑_{i = 0}^N-1 w(i) · Mtengo(t-i) / ∑_{i = 0}^N-1 w(i)

Kumene:

• $ALMA(t)$ ndi mtengo wa ALMA panthawiyo $t$.
• $N$ ndi kukula kwa zenera kapena kuchuluka kwa nthawi
• $w(i)$ ndi kulemera kwa mtengo pa nthawi
• $Price(t-i)$ ndi mtengo pa nthawi

Kuwerengera kulemera

Kulemera $w(i)$ amawerengedwa pogwiritsa ntchito kugawa kwa Gaussian, komwe kumatanthauzidwa ngati:
w (i) = e^{-½(σ(iM)/M)2}

Kumene:

• $\sigma$ ndiye kupatuka kokhazikika, komwe kumayikidwa ku 6.
• $M$ ndiye chotsitsa, chomwe chimasintha pakati pawindo. Imawerengedwa ngati M=m⋅(N-1), kumene m ndiye gawo lowongolera (pakati pa 0 ndi 1).

Masitepe Powerengera

1. Tsimikizirani ma Parameters: Khazikitsani zenera kukula $N$, kuchepetsa $m$, ndi kupatuka kokhazikika $\sigma$.
2. Weretsani Zolemera: Pogwiritsa ntchito njira yogawa ya Gaussian, werengerani zolemera pamtengo uliwonse pawindo.
3. Compute Weighted Sum: Chulukitsani mtengo uliwonse ndi kulemera kwake kolingana ndi kuchuluka kwake.
4. Zokhazikika: Gawani zolemerazo ndi kuchuluka kwa masikelo kuti mtengowo ukhale wabwino.
5. Njira Yobwereza: Werengerani ALMA pa nthawi iliyonse kuti mupange mzere wosuntha.

Makhalidwe Oyenera Kukhazikitsa Munthawi Zosiyanasiyana

Kukhazikitsa Chizindikiro cha ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average) chokhala ndi mayendedwe abwino ndikofunikira kuti chigwire bwino ntchito munthawi zosiyanasiyana zamalonda. Zokonda izi zitha kusiyanasiyana kutengera mtundu wamalonda (scalping, malonda atsiku, kugulitsa maswing, kapena kugulitsa malo) komanso momwe msika uliri.

Malingaliro a Nthawi

Nthawi Yaifupi (Scalping, Kugulitsa Masana):

• Kukula Kwawindo (N): Mazenera ang'onoang'ono (mwachitsanzo, nthawi 5-20) amapereka zizindikiro mofulumira komanso kukhudzidwa kwakukulu kwa kayendetsedwe ka mtengo.
• Kusintha (m): Kutsika kwapamwamba (kufupi ndi 1) kungagwiritsidwe ntchito kuchepetsa kuchedwa, kofunika m'misika yofulumira.

Nthawi Yapakati (Kugulitsa pa Swing):

• Kukula Kwawindo (N): Mazenera apakati (mwachitsanzo, nthawi 21-50) amawongolera pakati pa kukhudzika ndi kusalaza.
• Kusintha (m): Kuchepetsa pang'onopang'ono (kuzungulira 0.5) kumathandizira kuti pakhale kukhazikika pakati pa kuchepetsa kwanthawi yayitali ndi kudalirika kwazizindikiro.

Nthawi Yaitali (Kugulitsa Maudindo):

• Kukula Kwawindo (N): Mazenera akuluakulu (monga nthawi 50-100) amawongolera kusinthasintha kwakanthawi kochepa, kuyang'ana pazochitika za nthawi yayitali.
• Kusintha (m): Kutsika pang'ono (kufupi ndi 0) nthawi zambiri kumakhala koyenera, chifukwa kusintha kwachangu kwa msika sikofunikira kwambiri.

Kupatuka kokhazikika (σ)

• Kupatuka kokhazikika (komwe nthawi zambiri kumayikidwa ku 6) kumakhala kosasintha pakanthawi kosiyanasiyana. Imayika m'lifupi mwa curve ya Gaussian, kukhudza zolemera zomwe zimaperekedwa kumitengo.

Maupangiri Mwamakonda Anu

• Kusakhazikika kwa Msika: M'misika yomwe imakhala yosasunthika, mazenera okulirapo pang'ono angathandize kuchotsa phokoso.
• Zamsika: Sinthani zosinthira kuti zigwirizane ndi momwe msika uliri; kutsika kwapang'onopang'ono m'magawo oyambira komanso kutsika m'misika yosiyanasiyana.
• Kuyesa ndi Zolakwa: Kuyesa ndi makonda osiyanasiyana muakaunti yachiwonetsero kumalangizidwa kuti mupeze magawo oyenera kwambiri amunthu payekha njira malonda.

Kutanthauzira kwa Chizindikiro cha ALMA

Kutanthauzira koyenera kwa Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) ndikofunikira kwambiri traders kupanga zisankho mwanzeru. Gawoli likufotokoza momwe mungawerenge ndikugwiritsa ntchito ALMA pazamalonda.

Chizindikiritso cha Trend

• Chizindikiro cha Uptrend: Mzere wa ALMA ukakwera m'mwamba kapena mtengo umakhala pamwamba pa mzere wa ALMA, nthawi zambiri umadziwika kuti ndi chizindikiro chokwera, kuwonetsa momwe msika ukuyendera.

• Chizindikiro cha Downtrend: Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, kutsika kwa ALMA kapena mtengo wamtengo wapatali pansi pa mzere wa ALMA umasonyeza kutsika, kuwonetsa kutsika.

Kusintha Mtengo

• Chizindikiro Chobwerera: Kuphatikizika kwa mtengo ndi mzere wa ALMA zitha kuwonetsa kusintha komwe kungachitike. Mwachitsanzo, ngati mtengo uwoloka pamwamba pa mzere wa ALMA, ukhoza kuwonetsa kusintha kuchokera ku downtrend kupita ku uptrend.

Thandizo ndi Kutsutsana

• Mzere wa ALMA ukhoza kukhala ngati chithandizo champhamvu kapena mlingo wotsutsa. Pamwamba, mzere wa ALMA ukhoza kukhala wothandizira, pamene uli pansi, ukhoza kukhala ngati kukana.

Momentum Analysis

• Poyang'ana mbali ndi kupatukana kwa mzere wa ALMA, traders imatha kudziwa kukula kwa msika. Kukwera pang'ono komanso mtunda wokwera kuchokera pamtengo ukhoza kuwonetsa kukwera kwakukulu.

Kuphatikiza ALMA ndi Zizindikiro Zina

Kuphatikiza Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) ndi zisonyezo zina zaukadaulo zitha kupititsa patsogolo njira zogulitsira popereka ma siginecha amphamvu komanso kuchepetsa zabwino zabodza. Gawoli likuwunikira kuphatikiza kothandiza kwa ALMA ndi zizindikiro zina zodziwika bwino.

ALMA ndi RSI (Relative Strength Index)

Kuphatikiza mwachidule: RSI ndi liwiro oscillator amene amayesa liwiro ndi kusintha kwa mtengo kayendedwe. Mukaphatikizidwa ndi ALMA, traders imatha kuzindikira komwe akupita ndi ALMA ndikugwiritsa ntchito RSI kuyesa kugulitsa kapena kugulitsa mopitilira muyeso.

Zizindikiro Zamalonda:

• Chizindikiro chogula chitha kuganiziridwa pamene ALMA ikuwonetsa kukwera, ndipo RSI ichoka m'dera lomwe lagulitsidwa kwambiri (> 30).
• Mosiyana ndi izi, chizindikiro chogulitsa chikhoza kuperekedwa pamene ALMA ikuwonetsa kutsika ndipo RSI ituluka m'malo ogulidwa kwambiri (<70).

ALMA ndi MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

Kuphatikiza mwachidule: MACD ndi chizolowezi chotsatira chizindikiro champhamvu. Kuyanjanitsa ndi ALMA kumalola traders kutsimikizira zomwe zikuchitika (ALMA) ndikuzindikira zosinthika kapena kusintha kwamphamvu (MACD).

Zizindikiro Zamalonda:

• Zizindikiro za bullish zimachitika pamene ALMA ili pamwamba, ndipo mzere wa MACD umadutsa pamwamba pa mzere wa chizindikiro.
• Zizindikiro za Bearish zimadziwika pamene ALMA ili pansi, ndipo mzere wa MACD umadutsa pansi pa mzere wa chizindikiro.

Magulu a ALMA ndi Bollinger

Kuphatikiza mwachidule: Bollinger Mabandi ndi chizindikiro cha kusakhazikika. Kuphatikizika ndi ALMA kumapereka zidziwitso zamphamvu zamachitidwe (ALMA) ndi kusakhazikika kwa msika (Bollinger Bands).

Zizindikiro Zamalonda:

• Kuchepa kwa Magulu a Bollinger panthawi yomwe ALMA akuwonetsa kukuwonetsa kupitilizabe.
• Kuphulika kwa magulu a Bollinger nthawi imodzi ndi zizindikiro za ALMA kungasonyeze kusuntha kwamphamvu komwe kumachokera.

Kuwongolera Ngozi ndi ALMA Indicator

Kugwiritsa chiopsezo kasamalidwe ndi kofunikira pakugulitsa, ndipo Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) ikhoza kukhala chida chofunikira pankhaniyi. Gawoli likukambirana za njira zogwiritsira ntchito ALMA kuthana ndi zoopsa zamalonda.

Kukhazikitsa Stop-Loss ndi Take-Profit

Kupuma-Kutaya Malamulo:

• Traders ikhoza kuyika ma oda oyimitsa-kuyimitsidwa pansi pa mzere wa ALMA mummwamba kapena pamwamba pake pakutsika. Njirayi imathandizira kuchepetsa kuwonongeka komwe kungachitike ngati msika ukuyenda motsutsana ndi trade.
• Mtunda wochokera ku mzere wa ALMA ukhoza kusinthidwa kutengera trader kulekerera kwachiwopsezo komanso kusinthasintha kwa msika.

Maoda a Phindu:

• Kukhazikitsa milingo yopezera phindu pafupi ndi milingo yayikulu ya ALMA kapena mzere wa ALMA ukayamba kufota kapena kubwerera kumbuyo kungathandize kupeza phindu pamalo abwino.

Position Sizing

Kugwiritsa ntchito ALMA kudziwitsa kukula kwa malo kungathandize kuthana ndi ngozi. Mwachitsanzo, traders akhoza kusankha malo ang'onoang'ono pamene ALMA ikuwonetsa kufooka ndi malo akuluakulu panthawi yamphamvu.

osiyana

Kuphatikiza njira zozikidwa pa ALMA ndi njira zina zogulitsira kapena zida zitha kufalitsa chiopsezo. osiyana zimathandizira kuchepetsa kusuntha kwa msika kwapadziko lonse.

ALMA ngati Chizindikiro Chowopsa

Ngodya ndi kupindika kwa mzere wa ALMA zitha kukhala ngati ziwonetsero zakusakhazikika kwa msika. ALMA yotsetsereka ikhoza kuwonetsa kusakhazikika kwambiri, kupangitsa njira zotsatsira malonda.